Will cricket work today
The most important questions are dealt with HERE. Last Sat was wet - drizzly wet . These summer lows take a bit of understanding as the rain "coming from the north " is much less common than the weather coming from the west ( normal).
Time though, with all the info on the net , to take weather interpretation into our our own hands.
Well not entirely- these blokes at BOM should be respected .
Seems the general district forecast is supported
ie SW cloudy risk of isolated showers esp on the otways . Radar at 10 supports the expectation that rain with mainly occur to the west and on the hills ( the sensitive nature of orographic effects when the air is filled with moisture like it is today )
SO HERE IS my forecast ( made 10:45 am Sat 26th Nov 2011)
That there is a 90% chance that drizzle will not occur at South Colac ( where it matters) but rain south much more likely as slight northerlies raise the air into the Otways .
There is 80% chance that cricket at South Colac will be OK because the warm air from north will continue till 5pm keeping air clearer than it might be at the head of the front . Showers and cloud expected but not expected to be uncomfortable like it was last week at Birregurra . Expect a clear photo of the north to be taken at 4pm .
I could be wrong .
See the charts for yourself. 2pm above and 5pm below
Time though, with all the info on the net , to take weather interpretation into our our own hands.
Well not entirely- these blokes at BOM should be respected .
Seems the general district forecast is supported
ie SW cloudy risk of isolated showers esp on the otways . Radar at 10 supports the expectation that rain with mainly occur to the west and on the hills ( the sensitive nature of orographic effects when the air is filled with moisture like it is today )
SO HERE IS my forecast ( made 10:45 am Sat 26th Nov 2011)
That there is a 90% chance that drizzle will not occur at South Colac ( where it matters) but rain south much more likely as slight northerlies raise the air into the Otways .
There is 80% chance that cricket at South Colac will be OK because the warm air from north will continue till 5pm keeping air clearer than it might be at the head of the front . Showers and cloud expected but not expected to be uncomfortable like it was last week at Birregurra . Expect a clear photo of the north to be taken at 4pm .
I could be wrong .
See the charts for yourself. 2pm above and 5pm below
1 Comments:
You was wrong , completely wrong . Thought U was clever didn't U
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