Thursday, September 07, 2006

RISING DAMP


Al Gor is making pictures. No doubt he also knows how to make money and tell a good yarn.Seems We''ll all be drowned ,,or dried up ...or something if we don't listen to .......polys?
After watching the hushed silence on Enoughrope , I think that may what he should stick to. He will like Mr Ian campbell and too many power hungry polys, do more damage in the china shop of environmental imperatives ,carelessly jousting poking and proding with our taxes than is productive in the long term .One day this next day that --thats not science or sustianability -its short term suspect stuff more ere. You Don't hear too much about rising sea levels , let alone parrots lately eh!
Too many people quote scientists to suit their arguments but don't listen to US. Care is required, not incentive, bullying and bullsh about crashing glaciers.

Do you share the panic of media and polys about impeding disasters? I certainly don't .Thankfully out here in the Otways there is at least a lot more healthy cynicsm of city centric simplicities over environmental matters- probability is good science and a reliable guide: not the ever changing panic of pedants frightened as they are by a few facts .

If the sea level is rising, Mr DeCecco 's plans for reworking the beautiful untouched estuary of the Barham River at Apollo Bay are all awash. As Counsellor Brian Crook said this week about the Estuary developments- where are the independant scientists? Lots of reports commissioned by the developer, but silence seems to be the theme from others?

As for all this warming , the scientific geological community recognise that sea temperatures are currently rising, but generally agree it probably has nothing to do with man's burning of fossil fuels . If you look at the big picture of geological time , its been up and down within less than 0.5 degree for absolute eons . More to do with radiation reflection, dust, meteors and other gases .
And Cold and dry is more the norm for mid latitudes in geological history than hot and dry -so much for hot is dry simple games in the media! Forget them ask a real scientist Another reason for having some confidence in history is our place in the solar systems stable seasonal influence; the eon age influence of orography and winds on plant biogeography.

So what of this very dry winter? . Its probably within the norm ( we only get an average of 70mm a month, even though we live in the wettest part of Victoria )
He's a test . I reckon we will get within 20% of the average by the end of October ie 140 times 2 by 2= 280mm. Look at the map -check out how "mid winter patterns of the eons?" even ignore orography!
You may not trust me or properly trained geoscientists, but who should you if you have a choice. A lot of this nonsense is clearly an attempt by powerbrokers to try to shake the community into being more conservation minded - and intention is oK - but not the method . Short term gain for science and the community if the truth is not used when we make decisions. Time to support Brian Crook to get action to put the truth first !

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